← MVP x Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at MVP x Abyssal Heaven Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 80.0% | 56.7% | 60.7% | 54.6% | 1532 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 75.0% | 74.4% | 55.3% | 58.8% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 44.0% | 50.6% | 47.5% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 37.5% | 40.1% | 45.8% | 43.4% | 1513 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.1% | 44.3% | 50.6% | 1293 | — |
| 6 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 28.5% | 40.0% | 37.4% | 1315 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 43.4% | 40.0% | 43.4% | 1131 | ↓ low |