← Game Kastle Redwood City Store Championship - Abyssal Heaven
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Game Kastle Redwood City Store Championship - Abyssal Heaven.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 4 | 50.0% | 10 | 60.0% | 59.8% | 54.8% | 56.2% | 1346 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 46.1% | 50.0% | 46.0% | 1374 | — |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 25.0% | 8 | 50.0% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 45.6% | 1534 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 39.9% | 41.4% | 45.0% | 1550 | ↑ top |