Wind AlliesTier 2
at 0413(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_店冠賽
decks
3
(37.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-4-2
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.7%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1402
· median 1495
· range 1210–1502
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1208
Q3 1397
1591
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 25.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.7% | -17.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.1% | +4.9 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
