← Yeti Gaming Webcam League 4/10/2025
Water FractalTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam League 4/10/2025
decks
5
(13.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
9-8-0
overall winrate
52.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1312
· median 1299
· range 1144–1535
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1180
Q3 1379
1608
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Fire Neos | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Byakko | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Seiryuu | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Triskit | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Polkhawk | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Water Fractal decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
