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Water AlliesTier 1
at Aria's Cardshop Online Store Championship!
decks
1
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
4-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.5%
avg ELO +5.4 per match
expected value
62.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1340
· median 1340
· range 1340–1340
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1119
Q1 1221
Q3 1394
1593
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Arcane | 25.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.6% | +5.4 |
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
