← Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
Fire AggroTier 2
at Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
decks
3
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-8-1
overall winrate
39.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.6%
avg ELO -3.4 per match
expected value
48.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1235
· median 1208
· range 1159–1338
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1122
Q1 1199
Q3 1320
1414
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.3% | +4.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.3% | +10.9 |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.6% | -11.9 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
