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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Store Championship Armchair Adventurer
decks
1
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.1%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1232
· median 1232
· range 1232–1232
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1159
Q1 1182
Q3 1236
1283
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
