← Gaming Giant HVN Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gaming Giant HVN Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Aggro 1 11.1% 3 66.7% 61.7% 57.1% 61.7% 1237 ↓ low
2 Fire Suzaku 3 33.3% 10 65.0% 53.5% 54.9% 51.7% 1407 ↑ top
3 Water Neos 1 11.1% 4 75.0% 59.0% 54.0% 53.3% 1479 ↑ top
4 Wind Allies 1 11.1% 2 50.0% 50.7% 50.0% 50.4% 1293
5 Wind Astra Cleric 1 11.1% 2 25.0% 44.1% 47.5% 48.7% 1168 ↓ low
6 Water Genbu 1 11.1% 1 0.0% 43.7% 40.0% 43.7% 1195 ↓ low
7 Water Tera Mage 1 11.1% 4 0.0% 32.5% 31.4% 36.6% 1178 ↓ low