← Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
decks
1
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1407
· median 1407
· range 1407–1407
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1183
Q3 1328
1494
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 25.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.7% | +0.6 |
| Wind Kongming | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.4% | -1.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
