← Store Champs (6209 Dean Martin)
Fire Tera Diao ChanTier 2
at Store Champs (6209 Dean Martin)
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1205
· median 1205
· range 1205–1205
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1144
Q3 1506
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Exia | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Fire Kongming | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Tera Diao Chan decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
