Chronos Mortal Ambition Store Champtionship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	25.0%	3-3-1	50.0%	45.0%	51.5%	48.4%	1403	↑ top
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	25.0%	0-3-1	12.5%	28.9%	40.8%	40.4%	1323	—
3		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	25.0%	3-2-0	60.0%	58.3%	53.1%	54.2%	1329	—
4		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	12.5%	4-2-1	64.3%	60.9%	54.3%	55.2%	1438	↑ top
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-2-1	50.0%	53.2%	50.0%	52.0%	1435	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 25.0%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 25.0%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%