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Fire SuzakuTier 2

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 5/22/2025

decks
2 (6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1% avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
45.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1374 · median 1374 · range 1304–1444 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1183 Q3 1396 1517
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 18.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.2% -1.2
Wind Astra Cleric 9.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.2
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Fire Aggro 6.1% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 6.1% 0
Crux Lorraine 3.0% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 3.0% 0
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 3.0% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.0% 0
Fire Tera Diao Chan 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +0.9
Seiryuu 3.0% 0
Water Genbu 3.0% 0
Water Tera Cleric 3.0% 0
Water Tera Mage 3.0% 0
Wind Allies 3.0% 0
Wind Byakko 3.0% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Wind Luxem Zander 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -0.9
Wind Neos 3.0% 0
Wind Razorgale 3.0% 0
Wind Seiryuu 3.0% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 49 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 49 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Vermilion Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Fatestone of Revelations +1.00 1 0 0
Searing Truth -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Planted Explosive -1.00 0 1 0
Coiled Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0
Forest Cake +1.00 1 0 0
Fatestone of Unrelenting -1.00 0 1 0
Pelagic Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0
Flamewing Fowl -1.00 0 1 0
Heated Vengeance -1.00 0 1 0
Rococo, Explosive Maven -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Smoke Out -1.00 0 1 0
Expel the Departed +1.00 1 0 0
Coronation Ceremony -1.00 0 1 0
Ignite Fate +1.00 1 0 0
Sword of Seeking -1.00 0 1 0
Cinder Geyser -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs +1.00 1 0 0
Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper -1.00 0 1 0
Creative Shock +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Set Ablaze -1.00 0 1 0
Band of Burning Verdict +1.00 1 0 0
Cremation Ritual +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Broken Promises +1.00 1 0 0
Hasty Messenger +1.00 1 0 0
Spark Alight -1.00 0 1 0
Fated Keepsake +1.00 1 0 0
Restorative Flame -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Flamewreath Call +1.00 1 0 0
Blazing Throw -1.00 0 1 0
Suzaku's Command -1.00 0 1 0
Shatter the Brittle +1.00 1 0 0
Clumsy Apprentice -1.00 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 1 0 0
Guo Jia, Blessed Scion +1.00 1 0 0
Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion -1.00 0 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Fatestone of Balance -1.00 0 1 0
Tempered Steel +1.00 1 0 0
Impact Hammer -1.00 0 1 0
Portentous Tanggu +1.00 1 0 0
Baby Red Slime +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/25422/archetypes/Fire Suzaku