← CoreTCG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship
Water Umbra RangerTier 2
at CoreTCG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.8%
avg ELO -6.8 per match
expected value
48.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1357
· median 1357
· range 1357–1357
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1021
Q1 1174
Q3 1409
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 41.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
| Wind Allies | 33.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.2% | -19.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
