← Curio Grand Archive HVN Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Curio Grand Archive HVN Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.1% | 55.0% | 52.1% | 1451 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 59.7% | 55.0% | 53.9% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.9% | 55.0% | 52.3% | 1321 | — |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 49.0% | 52.5% | 49.6% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 50.0% | 56.3% | 50.0% | 52.9% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.5% | 50.0% | 51.4% | 1262 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 50.0% | 48.2% | 50.0% | 48.9% | 1464 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 34.8% | 40.0% | 40.9% | 1293 | — |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 43.8% | 40.0% | 46.3% | 1056 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.2% | 40.0% | 44.0% | 1096 | ↓ low |