← DeckaDice Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DeckaDice Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 100.0% | 65.6% | 60.0% | 59.3% | 1453 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Tera Silvie | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.2% | 40.0% | 40.2% | 1202 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 41.1% | 40.0% | 41.1% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1362 | ↑ top |