EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 卡庫店家冠軍賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 100.0% | 61.3% | 60.0% | 61.3% | 1395 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 2 | 50.0% | 3 | 50.0% | 45.6% | 49.2% | 46.5% | 1340 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 45.8% | 41.7% | 45.8% | 1253 | — |