EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Banish Zone's Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd

Water Fractal

54.3%

6.2% share · 4 matches

1st

Wind Allies

57.2%

12.5% share · 8 matches

3rd

Wind Luxem Zander

53.2%

12.5% share · 10 matches

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#	Archetype	Decks	Share	Matches	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1	Wind Allies	2	12.5%	8	68.8%	66.9%	57.2%	59.0%	1246	—
2	Water Fractal	1	6.2%	4	75.0%	62.7%	54.3%	54.0%	1301	—
3	Wind Luxem Zander	2	12.5%	10	65.0%	50.8%	53.2%	49.3%	1432	↑ top
4	Wind Shadowstrike	1	6.2%	3	33.3%	43.3%	52.0%	49.8%	1065	↓ low
5	Wind Razorgale	1	6.2%	4	50.0%	47.6%	51.4%	49.5%	1340	↑ top
6	Water Genbu	2	12.5%	9	50.0%	45.2%	50.9%	48.6%	1270	—
7	Fire Slimes	1	6.2%	4	50.0%	48.5%	47.5%	46.7%	1237	—
8	Fire Aggro	3	18.8%	12	41.7%	51.8%	46.7%	49.6%	1139	↓ low
9	Fire Suzaku	1	6.2%	4	50.0%	50.7%	45.7%	46.8%	1378	↑ top
10	Wind Astra Cleric	1	6.2%	4	12.5%	34.9%	42.9%	44.5%	1247	—
11	Wind Seiryuu	1	6.2%	2	0.0%	35.0%	40.0%	41.6%	1343	↑ top