← CardArt HVN Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CardArt HVN Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Luxem Zander 1 12.5% 2 100.0% 59.9% 60.0% 56.0% 1678 ↑ top
2 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 12.5% 4 75.0% 56.8% 55.0% 52.7% 1429 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Mage 1 12.5% 3 50.0% 50.5% 50.0% 50.2% 1419 ↑ top
4 Water Genbu 1 12.5% 1 50.0% 47.3% 50.0% 47.3% 1550 ↑ top
5 Wind Seiryuu 1 12.5% 2 50.0% 54.5% 50.0% 52.7% 1317
6 Wind Shadowstrike 1 12.5% 2 50.0% 55.7% 50.0% 53.4% 1410 ↑ top
7 Fire Aggro 1 12.5% 2 0.0% 37.1% 40.0% 42.3% 1445 ↑ top
8 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 12.5% 2 0.0% 35.4% 40.0% 41.3% 1386