Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at EVO treasure tournament
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1324
· median 1324
· range 1324–1324
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1226
Q3 1293
1460
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 17.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
