Water GenbuTier 1

at Ascent Worlds Path of Steel

decks

77 (18.2% of field)

matches (non-mirror)

0 0-0-0

overall winrate

—

ELO-adjusted winrate

— avg ELO — per match

expected value

— share-weighted (raw)

EV (ELO-adj)

— share-weighted (skill-controlled)

Pilot Skill · average

mean ELO 1370 · median 1351 · range 1038–1750 (77 pilots with an ELO rating)

976 Q1 1212 Q3 1425 1750

34% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 17% in the bottom.

Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent	Their share	W-L-D	Raw WR	Shrunk WR	Adj WR	ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro	16.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Shadowstrike	9.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Astra Cleric	8.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Fractal	8.3%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Allies	6.4%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Firebloom Burn	3.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Luxem Zander	2.4%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Seiryuu	2.4%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Suzaku	2.1%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Slimes	1.7%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Luxem Assassin	1.7%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Neos	1.4%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Lorraine	1.4%	—	—	—	—	—
Slimes	1.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Razorgale	1.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Arcane	0.9%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Crux Mage	0.9%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Exia	0.9%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Crux Mage	0.9%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Tera Kongming	0.9%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Crux Lorraine	0.7%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Luxem Assassin	0.7%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Neos	0.7%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Seiryuu	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Penguin Mill	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Ravishing Mill	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Tera Cleric	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Crux Lorraine	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Crux Mage	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Neos	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Slice & Dice	0.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Arcane	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Cinderbloom Combo	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Ravishing Mill	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Umbra Ranger	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Norm Tera Silvie	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Allies	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Arisanna	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Luxem Assassin	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Tera Mage	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Umbra Diana	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Water Umbra Ranger	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Byakko	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Dawn of Ashes	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Exia	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Overlord	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Slimes	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Tera Silvie	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Wakeup Combo	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—

Decklists · 77 from this event

The 77 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/27292/archetypes/Water Genbu