← 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.5%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1088
· median 1088
· range 1088–1088
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1204
Q3 1435
1495
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
