← Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/17/2025
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/17/2025
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.4%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
56.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1225
· median 1225
· range 1225–1225
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1097
Q1 1192
Q3 1453
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Water Genbu | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Kongming | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
