← Innkeeper's Grand Archive Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at Innkeeper's Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
2-1-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1168
· median 1168
· range 1168–1168
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1155
Q1 1186
Q3 1253
1285
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Diana | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
