Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Welcome to DTR!
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1143
· median 1143
· range 1067–1219
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1067
Q1 1188
Q3 1414
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 20.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umbra Ciel | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
