← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #1
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #1
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-4-2
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1245
· median 1245
· range 1178–1313
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1229
Q3 1357
1425
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 25.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
