← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #2
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #2
decks
3
(17.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
2-8-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
40.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1282
· median 1313
· range 1178–1354
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1093
Q1 1196
Q3 1348
1493
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 23.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.0% | -0.7 |
| Fire Suited | 11.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Beast | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
