← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #3
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #3
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-4-2
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
44.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1279
· median 1279
· range 1191–1367
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1196
Q3 1334
1379
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 35.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.9% | +0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Suited | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
