← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #7

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #7. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 5.3% 3 100.0% 50.7% 60.0% 50.3% 1420 ↑ top
2 Fire Suited 3 15.8% 7 71.4% 51.6% 55.0% 50.6% 1246 ↓ low
3 Fire Firebloom Burn 3 15.8% 5 60.0% 50.1% 55.0% 50.2% 1350 ↑ top
4 Wind Seiryuu 2 10.5% 3 66.7% 50.7% 50.7% 50.2% 1381 ↑ top
5 Water Genbu 1 5.3% 3 50.0% 50.4% 50.0% 50.4% 1191 ↓ low
6 Wind Shadowstrike 2 10.5% 5 40.0% 49.5% 47.1% 49.7% 1297
7 Wind Astra Cleric 2 10.5% 5 40.0% 49.6% 45.8% 49.7% 1374 ↑ top
8 Fire Aggro 1 5.3% 3 33.3% 49.6% 45.0% 49.7% 1197 ↓ low
9 Neos Tonoris 1 5.3% 2 50.0% 50.4% 45.0% 49.8% 1093 ↓ low
10 Wind Umbra Ciel 1 5.3% 3 33.3% 49.5% 45.0% 49.7% 1222 ↓ low
11 Fire Arcane 1 5.3% 3 16.7% 48.7% 44.3% 49.5% 1367 ↑ top
12 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 5.3% 2 0.0% 48.3% 40.0% 49.0% 1425 ↑ top