← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #9
Water JinTier 1
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #9
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.1%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1222
· median 1222
· range 1222–1222
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1222
Q1 1284
Q3 1338
1425
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Suited | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Jin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.