← TripleTactics TCG Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 2
at TripleTactics TCG Store Championship
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.3%
avg ELO -8.4 per match
expected value
44.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1272
· median 1272
· range 1272–1272
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1230
Q3 1359
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 31.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.8% | -6.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.8% | -5.9 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
