Fire AggroTier 1
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.8%
avg ELO +6.3 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1404
· median 1404
· range 1404–1404
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1150
Q1 1170
Q3 1397
1408
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Wind Beast | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Cats | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
