← LabyrinthGames Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Water Umbra GuardianTier 1
at LabyrinthGames Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.1%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
53.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1276
· median 1276
· range 1276–1276
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1236
Q3 1395
1504
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.5 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
