← 貓腳印-高雄店 8月16日 Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印-高雄店 8月16日 Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Shadowstrike 3 12.0% 19 68.4% 68.2% 62.5% 62.1% 1284
2 Fire Arcane 1 4.0% 8 81.2% 68.7% 59.0% 58.6% 1523 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Hybrid 1 4.0% 7 57.1% 52.0% 53.0% 52.5% 1276
4 Fire Rile 10 40.0% 45 57.8% 54.2% 53.0% 50.5% 1301
5 Fire Suited 2 8.0% 16 59.4% 65.1% 52.5% 56.3% 1307
6 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 4.0% 7 57.1% 38.4% 50.4% 44.4% 1409 ↑ top
7 Water Allies 1 4.0% 5 40.0% 38.9% 48.3% 44.7% 1352 ↑ top
8 Fire Suzaku 5 20.0% 22 54.5% 63.1% 46.5% 53.0% 1250 ↓ low
9 Water Aetherwing 1 4.0% 4 25.0% 43.6% 46.0% 49.4% 1236 ↓ low
10 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 4.0% 6 50.0% 59.6% 45.9% 49.3% 1282
11 Wind Allies 3 12.0% 21 35.7% 31.9% 44.8% 41.6% 1328
12 Fire Aggro 1 4.0% 5 60.0% 46.4% 43.8% 41.8% 1386 ↑ top
13 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 4.0% 5 40.0% 37.9% 43.5% 39.9% 1293
14 Fire Crux Mage 1 4.0% 7 42.9% 47.7% 43.1% 45.3% 1392 ↑ top
15 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 4.0% 6 8.3% 35.4% 40.2% 44.3% 1261
16 Fire Luxem Tamer 1 4.0% 6 16.7% 26.1% 35.8% 33.8% 1230 ↓ low
17 Wind Razorgale 1 4.0% 7 0.0% 20.4% 35.0% 35.6% 1101 ↓ low