Water Tera KongmingTier 1
at G3 DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-2-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
56.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1446
· median 1446
· range 1446–1446
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1269
Q3 1393
1446
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 48.9% | -0.7 |
| Fire Exia | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +11.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 34.4% | -14.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
