← VGMX Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at VGMX Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 100.0% | 58.4% | 60.0% | 55.0% | 1652 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 61.6% | 55.0% | 56.3% | 1305 | — |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 22.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 47.8% | 52.0% | 49.2% | 1328 | — |
| 4 | Water Exia | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 50.0% | 53.7% | 50.0% | 52.2% | 1023 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 59.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | 1231 | — |
| 6 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 45.0% | 49.1% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 34.1% | 40.0% | 40.5% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Genbu | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 35.5% | 40.0% | 42.6% | 1174 | ↓ low |