← Grand Archive Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1429
· median 1429
· range 1203–1656
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1174
Q3 1273
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.0% | -6.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -3.5 |
| Wind Exia | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
