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EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gamezenter Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 2 | 14.3% | 7 | 100.0% | 60.1% | 60.0% | 53.2% | 1526 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 67.3% | 55.6% | 58.0% | 1273 | — |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Tamer | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 61.1% | 53.3% | 54.2% | 1259 | — |
| 4 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 61.1% | 53.3% | 54.2% | 1259 | — |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 56.7% | 53.3% | 53.6% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 60.1% | 48.6% | 54.6% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Diana | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 37.5% | 46.9% | 48.3% | 50.2% | 1294 | — |
| 8 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 14.3% | 9 | 33.3% | 29.4% | 48.3% | 44.8% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 57.4% | 46.7% | 51.9% | 1120 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 47.4% | 45.0% | 49.2% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Umbra Ciel | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 28.7% | 44.0% | 41.6% | 1359 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 14.3% | 6 | 16.7% | 34.5% | 41.1% | 43.5% | 1262 | — |