← Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Distorted Reflections Store Championship

decks
2 (18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3% avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1326 · median 1326 · range 1143–1509 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1059 Q1 1143 Q3 1323 1509
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Byakko 9.1% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.5% -1.4
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 0
Fire Exia 9.1% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.9% -13.0
Fire Suited 9.1% 0
Slimes 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.6% +5.7
Water Genbu 9.1% 0
Wind Allies 9.1% 0
Wind Seiryuu 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.2% +5.2
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Nocturne's Oblivion +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen +1.00 1 0 0
Gearstride Gloves -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Slice and Dice -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Shadowstrike -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver +1.00 1 0 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Penumbral Waltz +1.00 1 0 0
Blackmarket Broker -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/32081/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike