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Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at DTR Gathering Hub Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1279
· median 1279
· range 1279–1279
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1205
Q3 1283
1383
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Water Nico | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
