← DTR Store Championships @ Favonia HQ
Water GenbuTier 2
at DTR Store Championships @ Favonia HQ
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.0%
avg ELO -7.1 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1460
· median 1460
· range 1460–1460
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1101
Q1 1176
Q3 1408
1469
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 15.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
