← DTR Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar

Fire SuzakuTier 1

at DTR Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar

decks
2 (12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 6-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
70.7% avg ELO +11.0 per match
expected value
61.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1434 · median 1434 · range 1420–1448 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032 Q1 1187 Q3 1421 1460
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Luxem Assassin 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.2% +6.7
Water Allies 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.9% +12.6
Wind Shadowstrike 12.5% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.9% +14.3
Wind Wakeup Combo 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.9% +7.9
Fire Aggro 6.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 6.2% 0
Slimes 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.5% +10.4
Water Aetherwing 6.2% 0
Water Fractal 6.2% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 6.2% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
March Hare, Mottled Host -1.00 0 1 0
Reduce to Ash +1.00 1 0 0
Expose Darkness +1.00 1 0 0
Increasing Danger -1.00 0 1 0
Heated Vengeance -1.00 0 1 0
Embercrypt Burn +1.00 1 0 0
Undying Dreams +1.00 1 0 0
Rococo, Explosive Maven -1.00 0 1 0
Liminal Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Arthur, Young Heir -1.00 0 1 0
Unyielding Wraithguard -1.00 0 1 0
Cinder Geyser +1.00 1 0 0
Three of Hearts +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 1 0 0
Demolition +1.00 1 0 0
Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper -1.00 0 1 0
Creative Shock +1.00 1 0 0
Spark Alight +1.00 1 0 0
Dazzling Courtesan -1.00 0 1 0
Flamewreath Call +1.00 1 0 0
Shatter the Brittle -1.00 0 1 0
Clumsy Apprentice -1.00 0 1 0
Guo Jia, Blessed Scion +1.00 1 0 0
Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion -1.00 0 1 0
Suzaku's Command +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/32086/archetypes/Fire Suzaku