Fire AetherwingTier 2
at MAGICSTAR 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.5%
avg ELO +3.8 per match
expected value
50.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1237
· median 1237
· range 1237–1237
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1252
Q3 1419
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.2 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.0% | +25.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
