← One Stop Anime DTR Store Championship
Water FractalTier 2
at One Stop Anime DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1190
· median 1190
· range 1111–1269
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1176
Q3 1240
1417
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.2% | +17.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
