← Shipwreck Games DTR Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Shipwreck Games DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.3%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1492
· median 1492
· range 1329–1656
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1101
Q1 1167
Q3 1397
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.5% | -18.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Wind Cats | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
