Fire OblationTier 2
at DTR Store Chapionship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.0%
avg ELO -6.7 per match
expected value
45.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1233
· median 1233
· range 1233–1233
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1189
Q3 1358
1476
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 54.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.6% | -7.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.8 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
