← Hobby Lords Palmerston North Store CHamps
SlimesTier 2
at Hobby Lords Palmerston North Store CHamps
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.8%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1104
· median 1104
· range 991–1217
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
991
Q1 1155
Q3 1383
1575
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.7% | -7.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
