← Paladin's Place Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 2
at Paladin's Place Store Championship
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-2-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1166
· median 1166
· range 1166–1166
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1163
Q3 1361
1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 31.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Fire Suited | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
