Fire AggroTier 1
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.4%
avg ELO +7.1 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1198
· median 1198
· range 1198–1198
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1111
Q3 1254
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Fire Exia | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.8 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
