← Desert City Games DTR Store Championship (Date Tentative)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Desert City Games DTR Store Championship (Date Tentative).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 57.7% | 56.0% | 56.0% | 1254 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 37.5% | 7 | 57.1% | 54.0% | 55.3% | 54.6% | 1256 | — |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 53.2% | 52.5% | 50.7% | 1268 | — |
| 4 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 45.9% | 44.0% | 43.6% | 1271 | — |
| 5 | Fire Tera Silvie | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 40.0% | 43.7% | 1105 | ↓ low |