Wind AlliesTier 1
at Store Championship DTR
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
7-6-0
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1266
· median 1266
· range 1196–1336
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1218
Q3 1433
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 43.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -0.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -20.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
